Entrepreneurs and Joblessness

It does not look like joblessness is going to be easing anytime soon. Even though business orders are up, cash reserves are high, and overtime is wearing out employees. Unfortunately, economic conditions still do not seem to be stimulative enough to increase hiring. 

For the unemployed this is especially aggravating. Most are hopeful, perhaps desperate is the more accurate word, that “companies” will someday begin hiring again, that employers of businesses both large and small will again provide all the jobs we need like they did before. 

And what help can be expected from the government? Although the Democrats stimulus plan helped to avert another Great Depression and created or saved 2-4 million jobs it has not sufficiently convinced businesses or their lenders that there is enough stability and predictability to start hiring. The Republicans, on the other hand, are still convinced that no government plan is best and that if we can just keep taxes to the rich low and markets free of regulation all will recover nicely (President Bush’s tax cut to the rich is now nine years old and that worked out well, didn’t it?!).  

This joblessness problem is bigger than politicians can remedy with trite ideological positions and reheated campaign phrases. Here in New Hampshire, listening to the current crop of political ads can hardly give hope to the jobless. They sound like parodies of… well political campaign ads. 

We hear candidates telling us that their honesty and business acumen will “fix the economy”. Really? This is one heck of a big mess that will not be solved by way of polarization, finger-pointing, and outrageous claims of superhuman economic abilities. It begins with everyone seeing themselves as Americans first and Democrats, Republicans, Independents, Tea Partyers, or whatever, second. Nobody and no political persuasion have all the answers. When the nation’s most renowned economists cannot agree on what is the right course of action, then that tells me that this is really complicated and requires the collaboration of our greatest efforts, not simplistic political phrases. 

If I had a quick and easy answer or method to suggest that would lessen the pain of unemployment, believe me, I’d give it to you. But just like our candidates, be they lobbyists, lawyers, or magazine editors, I don’t have a magic bullet for fixing this unemployment mess and I have yet to run into anyone else who has one. 

So, while we wait for our leaders to work together, jobless Americans need to be as proactive as they can. Assume for starters that we are not going back to Pleasantville. For the short-term, anyway, there is going to be a new normal. I think it will help to get yourself in the mindset of treating yourself as if you were self-employed… an entrepreneur. Avoid wallowing in despair and depression and instead face your situation as if you are trying to generate business for your own owner-operated company, the business of you. 

Be clear on what you can offer and then constantly look for opportunities to practice your skills. Volunteer, work temporarily, accept positions for now that pay less than before, keep studying, keep networking, do whatever it takes to stay in the game. Recessions historically generate entrepreneurial activity and given how deep this one is, the entrepreneurial reaction of citizens should be strong. 

Losing your identity is as bad, if not worse, than losing your money. Can you still say what you “are”, be it bookkeeper, truck driver, or seamstress? You are out of work, not out of life. Find a way to stay engaged in what you do and in who you are. Losing your job is not the same thing as losing your profession. 

The evidence that we are headed more and more into a freelance nation is continuously being reinforced. Waiting for the old normal of “getting a job” may never again be the same for millions of Americans. Begin making the mental shift now to being independent. It may be the only thing related to your work that you can control. 

Jobs and the Political Parties

With the 2010 mid-term election campaign season heating up it is a good time to look at where the two different major political parties stand on job creation.

It is clear that the economy is the most important campaign issue and the most prominent economic theme on most people’s minds is job creation. To the extent that law makers can affect employment, the parties have staked out strategic positions, which they hope will help them win in November. As someone who shares in the hope that everyone who wants a job can have one, here is my take on who offers the best hope.

To start with, job creation is largely a private sector and business responsibility. Although government financed jobs are just as valuable and valid as private sector jobs, the public sector cannot and should never expect to sustain the economy largely through tax payer based employment. From that premise, it becomes necessary to rate the parties on what they think the role of government should be in creating or facilitating the conditions by which the private sector can grow and create jobs.

True to tradition, the Democrats are looking for more interventionist and activist ways of involving government to stimulate the private economy, while Republicans are trying to minimize government involvement believing that business and entrepreneurism alone can improve economic conditions. Let us see how these approaches have fared in recent political history.

Essentially, Reaganomics have had their way for the past twenty-five to thirty years, by which I mean the Republican penchant for reducing taxes on wealthier Americans and reducing governmental regulations on business have held sway. Even President Clinton talked about the era of big government being over. The best that can be said from a jobs perspective is that employment followed the economic bubbles and busts of the 1990s and 2000s resulting in the Recessionary mess we now have. If the economic tide had lifted all boats, then the pulling of the economic plug in 2008 drained all of us and quickly.

Let us look at the last couple of years in particular. The current Recession began in December 2007. By the fall of ’08 with panic starting to set in we had the Republican nominee for president telling us the fundamentals of the economy were fine while the Democratic nominee was warning us of economic doom and gloom.

President Bush’s Treasury Secretary saw it imperative to begin a program of government funded bailouts to keep the country from plunging into another Depression. The newly elected president realized that government financial intervention needed to continue for the banks and extended it to two of the major American auto companies. Without those bailouts, unemployment would have been much higher.

In 2009 President Obama, having inherited a $1.3 Trillion deficit, and the congressional Democrats involved the government further in passing economic stimulus legislation. This seems to have maintained more jobs than it created, but it can be said to have kept the unemployment rate from getting worse than it did.

As we all know, the economic recovery has been slow and the high unemployment rate remains largely stuck between 9.5 and 10%. In response, the political debate seems to be between the Republicans who say that everything the president and Democrats attempt should be thwarted and the Democrats saying that increases in targeted expenditures along with more regulation, particularly in the financial industry, is needed. So whose approach can result in more jobs?

This Recession began largely because of unsustainable spending and speculation on behalf of many in the private sector who were able to get away with it. Had there not been government intervention we would now be experiencing the second Great Depression in our nation’s history with much higher unemployment than now. To prevent a Depression government essentially transferred the unsustainable spending from the private sector to the tax payer in the form of an increased budget deficit. A robust business climate is needed to seriously reduce that debt.

Republicans are still wedded to the belief that low taxes to the rich and a low regulatory climate will create a long-term healthy economy. There really is nothing new in their game plan except to cooperate even less than before with the Democrats.

The track record of this approach from the last three decades is not encouraging, however. The Democrats still believe that government should be a check and balance to the power of the markets so that excesses such as those that have led to the current Recession and that have hurt so many Americans are mitigated.

The power calibration between free markets and government spending and intervention is tricky and far from a guarantee that it can right the economic ship, but I prefer action over inaction. I will take my chances with President Obama and the Democrats.